2018 PATCH SPRINT RACE PREDICTIONS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Get set for a
competitive, dramatic, painful sprint to the finish! "With such an elite field of runners, this year's race is tougher than ever to pick," says oddsmaker Danny Sheridan. "The new, longer, flatter trail up Pok-O will mean running, not hiking the last mile. It's gonna hurt, and victory will go to whoever saved a little bit in the tank." Sheridan, who successfully picked the winner in all four divisions in 2017, predicts that "Even with the longer route and humid conditions, the 12-year old women's record will fall. The course is in great shape and there are as many top-notch ladies as there are men this year." Also, "look out for some significant comebacks from a few racers. Former champions Mark Corell and Alexandra Disney, along with perennial top-3 finishers Kurt Schuler and Jason Metakis are back, and could all content for the respective division titles." |
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Place | # | MEN'S RACERS | Finish Time | The Skinny | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 81 | Ryan Atkins | 1:57:19 | USA and/or World Champion in Obstacle, Spartan, Warrior and even Unicycle races. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 3 | Jan Wellford | 2:04:45 | His best hope is for rookie Atkins to get lost. Still, Fifth Top-5 in five races for '13 champ | ||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 1 | Sean Davis | 2:06:12 | Has been battling illness, but if he's feeling just right, he could still defend his championship | ||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | 64 | Mark Corell | 2:06:54 | American ex-pat living in Canada. Which anthem plays if he wins the race? | ||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 6 | Jeremy Drowne | 2:10:34 | Speed and technique on the steep downhills keeps improving... just not enough | ||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 12 | Austin Huneck | 2:12:37 | Two-time champ comes to financial terms this morning on event appearance fee | ||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 5 | Gus Harquail | 2:15:07 | A little distracted by the number of friendly teenage girls in the field | ||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | 10 | Jason Metakis | 2:15:23 | Spring training in Central Park, up skyscraper stairwells, and on Mount Ranier | ||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 73 | Kurt Schuler | 2:16:18 | Has finished Patch Sprint in 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 4 | Brian Beyerbach | 2:21:43 | 3rd Place: 2018 Prospect Mountain Road Race | ||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 7 | Adam Chrzan | 2:22:21 | Is there anyone else in the race that has four successive consonants in their name? | ||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | 9 | Kyle Smith | 2:24:25 | A winter free from running has actually strenghtened his formally tired legs | ||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | 96 | Alex Fragomeni | 2:28:00 | Teenage individual sport prodigy: running, skiing, biathlon, rowing, etc. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | 13 | Jacob Gittler | 2:36:01 | Starts with hard 37-mile warm-up, costs him a spot in the Top-10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | 8 | Edward Gravelle | 2:39:27 | Finishes. Not challenged enough. Runs Burlington marathon the next day! | ||||||||||||||||||||||
16 | 95 | Bryce Beyerbach | 2:40:33 | Makes an early wrong turn, his brother laughs, and continues on without telling him | ||||||||||||||||||||||
17 | 11 | Bill Hoffman | 2:42:45 | Commiserates with dogs on top about how easy in is to run barefoot over sharp rocks | ||||||||||||||||||||||
18 | 71 | Jon Schreiner | 2:47:02 | His mother, father and brother are all part of the Three-Hour Club | ||||||||||||||||||||||
19 | 109 | Mike Davis | 2:40:17 | Knee injury; says he's taking it easy but he's just not wired that way | ||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | 19 | Mike Taptick | 2:44:57 | Must answer to critics acusing him of purposely going at 8:00 for the cooloer, faster times | ||||||||||||||||||||||
21 | 17 | Cody York | 2:48:09 | Improves last years time by 3 minutes, result of all bacon diet | ||||||||||||||||||||||
22 | 77 | Chris Brakey | 2:49:26 | Naval Academy has him more comfortable on water these days | ||||||||||||||||||||||
23 | 15 | Tim Huneck | 2:50:51 | The battle to capture the 50 and older age group has never been more heated | ||||||||||||||||||||||
24 | 16 | Erik Schreiner | 2:51:11 | Sheridan may regulalry mix he and his brother up, but one thing's for sure: Both are fast! | ||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | 21 | Andrew Gonzalez | 2:54:29 | Determined to sweat out his post-grad party bender, he surprises some, including himself | ||||||||||||||||||||||
26 | 65 | Tom Reinckens | 2:56:39 | Loves taking pictures to post on Strava, while giving kudos to other runners | ||||||||||||||||||||||
27 | 23 | Chris Lafty | 3:00:06 | Name Anagram: "Shaft Lyric" ("Damn right!") | ||||||||||||||||||||||
28 | 74 | Jon Mullholland | 3:03:32 | Mistakenly runs Pond Sprint Course; special award given | ||||||||||||||||||||||
29 | 24 | Derek Payne | 3:03:46 | What can you say about Derek Payne that hasn't already been said? | ||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | 100 | Tom Brownell | 3:04:22 | Does most training and racing on a bike, so legs should be plenty fresh for the Patch | ||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | 22 | Zach Floss | 3:05:41 | Gets lost trying to ascend the chimney and spends night out on a cliff | ||||||||||||||||||||||
101 | McCormick Sinclair | 3:05:41 | Mac Attack in the Daks runs with Zach, works for Jack, finishes in middle of the Pack | |||||||||||||||||||||||
33 | 27 | Jerry Ross | 3:06:07 | Impressive what a 67-year old can do when you train and eat well! | ||||||||||||||||||||||
34 | 75 | Michael Brakey | 3:06:29 | Finishes is less time than if took Trump to write race day tweets | ||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | 66 | Luke Franklin | 3:08:16 | Now that the Cubs curse is over, his competitive bone has been softened. Still beats DeGroat | ||||||||||||||||||||||
36 | 26 | John Rayburn | 3:10:25 | Winnipeg's playoff run really stifled his mental focus this year | ||||||||||||||||||||||
37 | 68 | Brian DeGroat | 3:12:56 | Good news: Now has more time to train. Bad news: No elevation training | ||||||||||||||||||||||
38 | 84 | Jim Turosak | 3:14:08 | Seasoned ultramarathoner taken aback by difficulty of course, despite it's "short" distance | ||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | 97 | Michael Burgess | 3:14:08 | Must usually race under n alias 'cuz Sheridan can find nothing on him | ||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | 30 | Jason Fiegl | 3:24:12 | Unlike politicians, really means it claiming to slow down to spend more time with his family | ||||||||||||||||||||||
41 | 31 | Jameson Fiegl | 3:24:12 | Race is merely a warmup run for a grueling soccer tournament later in the day in Vermont | ||||||||||||||||||||||
42 | 86 | David Campbell | 3:32:19 | Veteran Marathoner and Triathlete trying his first endurance mounatin race | ||||||||||||||||||||||
43 | 82 | Mike Dorr | 3:38:28 | Longest layoff amongst current Patch Sprinters-- last raced in 2008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
44 | 36 | Chad Canning | 3:44:01 | Lyon Mt. repeats since 2016 makes the day feel a little easier | ||||||||||||||||||||||
37 | Colden Mitchell | 3:44:01 | Past event racers include: Colden, Marcy, Marshall, Armstrong, Wright, Blake, Allen | |||||||||||||||||||||||
46 | 80 | Dale Wells | 3:47:51 | Caesar salad at EthelŐs causes e-coli poisoning, which hurts time | ||||||||||||||||||||||
47 | 42 | Greg Pizzurro | 3:53:40 | Island Greg or Racer Greg? You never know who you're going to get | ||||||||||||||||||||||
48 | 93 | Christopher Myers | 3:58:54 | Give or take 93 minutes | ||||||||||||||||||||||
49 | 49 | Luke Moffett | 4:01:15 | Now a seasoned track athlete- he could be up to 30 minutes quicker than projected | ||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | 48 | Tom Moffett | 4:06:35 | Slower than usual due to drag from his new Fabio hairstyle | ||||||||||||||||||||||
51 | 70 | Peter Minde | 4:12:44 | Former trekker racing this year ad shaves an hour off of his PR | ||||||||||||||||||||||
52 | 46 | Sean Green | 4:15:06 | Mr. Green certainly didn't lay off the green stuff this year | ||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | 52 | Rob Wray | 5:06:44 | Where there's a will, there's a Wray | ||||||||||||||||||||||
67 | John McDonald | DNF | Stops for interview for Pok-O-Mac director job, accepts and drops out of race | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Place | Race # | WOMEN'S RACERS | Finish Time | The Skinny | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 103 | Sara Dunham | 2:18:03 | Even with the longer course, the 12-year old record should fall | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 106 | Laura Tuttle | 2:20:46 | If she can hang with Dunham to the base of Pok-O, she will take the division | ||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 18 | Annie Preston | 2:47:22 | An impressive showing at the Chuckanut 50K this March has Preston heading for a PR | ||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | 78 | Alexandra Disney | 2:52:11 | Shouldn't have eaten so much Dal Bhat the night before | ||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 14 | Deborah Nordyke | 2:59:09 | Finds shoe she had lost in swamp 7 years ago; three shoes up Pok-O helps her time | ||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 102 | Shannon Drowne | 3:07:40 | Struggles with concept of walking, so her early sprint up Bare saps her energy late | ||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 76 | Jolie Brakey | 3:08:14 | Feels good the whole way. Gets lost descending Pok-O on her way to the post-race party | ||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | 28 | Mindy Burkhardt | 3:16:21 | Name Anagram: "Rabid Drunk Myth" | ||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 34 | Katrin Schreiner | 3:17:12 | Big improvement and a PR for a future champion in the race | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 38 | Katie Moffett | 3:19:47 | Back from knee injury for improved finish time; stays dry by staying clear of swamp | ||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 91 | Marie McMahon | 3:21:32 | Licensed Massage therapist: Come see her after the race! | ||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | 90 | Abbi Crahan | 3:29:19 | Competes hard, bonks even harder. Vows to never again stray from the basketball court | ||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | 29 | Pam Gonzalez | 3:29:56 | Oh so close to a new PR. Tied for 2nd place in list of most female PS finishes | ||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | 33 | Elizabeth Lawliss | 3:30:02 | So good at geometry, calculates quicker angle to Poko Summit, Personal Best! | ||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | 32 | Norwood Styles | 3:37:19 | Back from triumphant tour of Skandinavia where she did more wine tasting than training | ||||||||||||||||||||||
16 | 44 | Tate Aronstein | 3:38:09 | Does collegiate rowing translate to Patch success? It will certainly help on cliffs of Pok-O | ||||||||||||||||||||||
17 | 41 | Kayla Beltran | 3:40:12 | Decides a bottle of beer sounds good while passing camp. Still turns in respectable time | ||||||||||||||||||||||
18 | 104 | Sydney Rubin | 3:41:01 | Consistent from the start. Impressive PS debut for Syd the Kid | ||||||||||||||||||||||
105 | Talia August | 3:41:01 | One of seven members of the 2017 CIT section; four of them are 46ers | |||||||||||||||||||||||
21 | 47 | Cara Gentry | 3:48:25 | Enjoys the day and looks for all animals along the course to accurately update Strava | ||||||||||||||||||||||
22 | 35 | Stephanie Lylis | 3:53:11 | Feels great on Bare; good on Snake; Fair on Loaf; Like shit on Pok-O | ||||||||||||||||||||||
23 | 108 | Alli Crahan | 3:53:26 | 2028 Women's Champion | ||||||||||||||||||||||
24 | 94 | Lisa Winters | 3:55:28 | Still seething over the fact that Prince Harry married someone else | ||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | 39 | Katie Green | 3:56:30 | Wins the War of the Greens | ||||||||||||||||||||||
26 | 43 | Sarah Green | 3:59:06 | Twists her knee ascending Pok-O, falls just short of the Green family title | ||||||||||||||||||||||
27 | 110 | Bridget Whyte | 3:59:39 | Name Anagram: "Get hit by Drew" | ||||||||||||||||||||||
28 | 111 | Megan Marulli | 4:00:37 | So impressed with Bare spot, she climbs up there again on the way to Sugarloaf | ||||||||||||||||||||||
29 | 50 | Miriam Hancock | 4:02:16 | Name Anagram: "Rock Him Maniac" | ||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | 92 | Piper Turosak | 4:07:44 | The new Patty McCormick: Seems to be laid back but has a fierce competitive fire burining | ||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | 69 | Jaida Coleman | 4:11:07 | Listens to Party in the USA the entire way. Has a great day in the woods | ||||||||||||||||||||||
32 | 54 | Olivia Politi | 4:29:23 | Carries an umbrella the entire way, which costs her nearly two hours in time | ||||||||||||||||||||||
89 | Sophie Hill | DNF | Attempts to swim to Sugarloaf but ends up detouring to trampoline to just hang out | |||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | Rosanne Van Dorn | DNS | Accidently inputs "Wellsboro" in her map app; ends up in Pennsylvania | |||||||||||||||||||||||
81 | Kathleen Wiley | DNS | Goes camping Friday with friends and gets bitten by 341 ticks | |||||||||||||||||||||||
107 | Ruby Gibson | DNS | Finds out that her phone doesn't get reception, blows off race and goes into town | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Place (Net) | Race # | CLYDESDALE | Finish Time | The Fat (total time - pounds exceeding 200 = Net Time) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 2 | Liam Davis | 2:00:54 | Just when victory seemed to be in site, along comes Ryan | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 51 | Josh Bornt | 4:47:19 | Runs in kilt and no shirt and has one of his better days on the course | ||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 88 | John Hancock | 5:52:31 | Technically, Hancock was our nation's first president, 13 years before Washington | ||||||||||||||||||||||
109 | Ken Herz | DNS | Clydesdale weigh-in number concerns local Doctors- advised not to run | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Place | Race # | HALF-SPRINT | Finish Time | The Skinny | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 137 | Max Hoffman | 0:43:02 | Five-minute miler. If he can do that for 13 miles/4 mountains he could win race easily | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 136 | Liam Hoffman | 0:47:32 | Has been competing in Triathlons since he was eight years old | ||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 131 | Mike Daley | 0:50:08 | Once wrote essay on breaking two hours on the course. This year he will break one hour! | ||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | 132 | Sami Daley | 0:51:19 | 3 former ladies champs are racing this year, though it's been 7 years since any of them won | ||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 40 | Laura Potel | 1:07:12 | Reconsidered running the full sprint. May still reconsider doing the half! | ||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 72 | Pam Cataldi | 1:11:11 | Drinks too much with Sheila the night before. Downgraded to Half-Sprint | ||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 139 | Sue Gadway | 1:18:12 | Runs her personal best up Rattlesnake to get to the party behind Sugarloaf faster | ||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | 134 | Mike Horwich | 1:19:03 | 16 years since his first Patch Sprint- only 4 others have been around longer | ||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 135 | Hilary Moss | 1:19:03 | Hawaii volcano has her in fear that Bare will blow at any moment | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 63 | Charlotte Bush | 1:24:17 | Bad recent virus forces shift to half sprint, but feels no lingering effects on race day | ||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 140 | Annemarie Papazoglou | 1:30:40 | Proper pronunciation: "Papazoglou" | ||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | 138 | Lisa Lang | 1:40:22 | Enjoys hike so much she sits on Rattlesnake all afternoon, taking in the view and the aura | ||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | Stephanie Konowitz | DNS | No show: later claims she overslept, had a dentist appointment, and the dog ate her homework | |||||||||||||||||||||||
133 | Phil Corell | DQ | Flagrantly flouts event rules by taking illegal short cut near the Homestead | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Place | Race # | RELAY | Finish Time | The Skinny | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 | Team Torminator | 5:04:19 | Tor claims that if he had run alone, the team would have been six minutes faster | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Blue Boar Hell Hockey | DNF | Only Gregson shows up; drops out at the Bare trailhead | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Place | Race # | TREKKER | Finish Time | The Skinny | ||||||||||||||||||||||
*** TREKKERS do not compete for placing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 55 | Tom Lynch | 3:42:50 | Exactly one hour off of his PR, set in 2003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 25 | Tim Singer | 3:43:48 | Precisely 60 minutes slower than his PR, set 15 years ago | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 83 | Kathy Mullholland | 3:50:09 | 12 minutes in - steep part on Bare - she wonders what all the fuss is about | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 91 | Karen Foster | 3:58:21 | Good runner chooses trekker division "so I don;t feel pressured to have to go fast!" | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 45 | Tom Preston | 4:03:55 | For every 24,000 steps he does, Target donates a meal to a malnourished child. Hope he gets lost! | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 99 | Natalie Wylie | 4:27:50 | Kindergarten teacher slows down to help slower Kinder-Sprinters up Pok-O | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 61 | Peter Joelson | 4:38:39 | So tired thinks he sees Julianna Margulies dressed in redÉ.inspires a 5 minute improvement | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 98 | Joanne Scott | 5:01:43 | Doesn't eat anything at the aid stations, falls in the swamp, never seen again | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 53 | Sierra Moscato | 5:11:27 | Delivers slop to Homestead Pigs, loses 30 minutes | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 56 | Nora Wootten | 5:40:12 | Scared of Malfoy, tries to apparate to Poko Summit, ends up at Rattlensake | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 85 | Matt Wooten | 5:40:12 | Thinks he sees a bear behind Sugarloaf but it turns out to be just another lost or injured racer | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 87 | Padma Campbell | 5:57:28 | Rookie mistake: Wearing the heavy cotton event T-shirt on a humid day | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 57 | David Joelson | 6:02:44 | Spends 45 minutes atop Rattlesnake trying to get any breaking political news he can find | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 58 | Tom Nold | 6:02:44 | Next year he'll go with running sneakers instead of hiking boots | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 59 | Bob Mason | 6:02:44 | Finally snaps when the 20th person asks if he's the guy with the raffle tickets | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 79 | Charlie Cary | 6:02:44 | Has not been heard from since 2010. Will likely next trek again in 2026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 20 | Cole Starkey | DNF | Sprains ankle on the way up Pok-O; runs all the way back to camp to get help | ||||||||||||||||||||||
- | 62 | Jon Bush | DNF | Drops out after Rattlesnake; Would have had a Top-15 Half-Sprint time if he chose that division. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Place | Race # | KINDER SPRINT | Finish Time | The Skinny | ||||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 151 | Ethan Daley | 28:14 | The course record (23 minutes) will never fall with the new lengthened trail | ||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 147 | Sam Wootten | 29:28 | Fails to three-peat but manages to go down Pok-O in an impressive 14 minutes | ||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | 148 | Ronan Young | 31:13 | Finds snowpile in a hidden cave; throws snowballs at everyone who passes by | ||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | 160 | Owen Tarala | 37:32 | Could be faster, but things seemed a little "Fuzzy" on the course | ||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 159 | Olivia Drowne | 39:54 | Helps guide Ada up the trail, then ditches her in the final 100 yards | ||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | 156 | Ada Burgess | 40:03 | Vows to sing "100 bottles of beer on the wall" to pass time. Quits at 91. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 152 | Cate Daley | 46:39 | Patch History: Cate, Kate, Cat, Katie, Katherine, Catherine | ||||||||||||||||||||||
153 | Brooke Taptick | 46:39 | Don't forget the Team Cookie Yard Sale, June 1-2, Peru, NY | |||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | 158 | Sophie Chromczak | 48:28 | Coolest name in this year's racing and trekking field | ||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | 149 | Addie Young | 50:52 | "Addie be Young again" | ||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 155 | Eleanor Russo | 51:00 | Turns supplemental oxygen up to six liters. It runs out and she seriously bonks | ||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | 154 | Hailey Taptick | 1:07:22 | Will try full course in 2019 in an attempt to be the youngest-ever Patch Sprinter (7) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | 150 | Josie Moffett | 1:09:14 | Tells her mom she "leans republican"; ends up climbing unchaperoned | ||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | 157 | Eddie Chromczak | DNF | Ditches chaperone, decides to climb Haystack and Basin instead of Poko | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Above list based on entrants and projected entrants through May 24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Race number, subject to change, based on most recent placing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
SEE RESULTS FROM PAST YEARS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||